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Polling the Presidential Race: Does Methodology Matter?

We explore how various methodologies may affect poll results, looking particularly at how different approaches to sampling and data collection seem to produce slightly different descriptions of the 2024 presidential race.

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Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: September 2024

This month’s poll of Pennsylvania registered voters finds that Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 49% - 46% in the presidential race. The poll also explores opinions on the economy, the direction of the state, and US foreign policy.

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Who are the Undecided Voters? Are There Really Only 3%?

Close analysis of the data suggests there are more undecided voters out there than many pollsters think, and persuadable voters are defined along ideological and partisan lines.

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Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: August 2024

This month's poll shows Pennsylvania voters' opinions on the 2024 presidential and U.S. Senate races, cell phones in schools, voting reform, and the legal definition of marriage.

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Shapiro as Vice President?

Can the Pennsylvania governor help Kamala Harris win the presidency? We discuss why he's so popular and how his candidacy might resonate with U.S. voters.

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Democrats’ Dilemma

Should Biden stay in the presidential race, or should he step aside? We review current and historic approval ratings and other data to provide context for this important discussion.

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Franklin & Marshall College Poll Release: PA 10th Congressional District, June 2024

In this poll of registered voters in PA CD-10, we look at the mood of the district's voters and explore the state of the 2024 presidential and congressional races, including the effect of the Trump guilty verdict on voters' choices.

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2024 Primary Recap: Protest Votes and Other Surprises

An analysis of the unexpected outcomes in the 2024 Pennsylvania primary election. We look at how the protest vote, turnout, and geography influenced the results, and what this might mean for the upcoming general election.

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Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: April 2024

See where the 2024 presidential race stands in Pennsylvania, and explore voters' positions on marijuana legalization, voting reforms, and democracy, along with their ratings of President Biden, Governor Shapiro, and Senator Casey.

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Will Population Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2020 Help Republicans?

Uneven patterns of migration between counties could make the 2024 presidential campaign even more closely contested than it was in 2020.