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Electoral Context

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Looking Ahead to the 2024 U.S. Senate Race

What can the April F&M poll tell us about the relative appeal of the two Republicans who have discussed running in Pennsylvania? We take a look at Senator Casey's chances against both Doug Mastriano and David McCormick.

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Election Postmortem

What happened in the 2022 midterm elections in Pennsylvania and across the country? Did issues like the economy and abortion rights affect the outcome? How analysis of the F&M midterm polls can help in understanding the unexpected results.

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Pennsylvania 2022 Primary Election Preview

This month's newsletter looks at some rarely discussed features that might affect Pennsylvania's primary elections: regional turnout, endorsements, a candidate's county of residence, and a candidate's ballot position.

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Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: April 2022

Explore Pennsylvania voters' feelings about teaching critical race theory, discussing sexual orientation in schools, the economy, and the upcoming primary election.

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Franklin & Marshall Poll Release: March 2022

This month, we asked voters their feelings about the economy, gun control, privatization of state-owned liquor stores, amending the state constitution, and ratings for President Biden and Governor Wolf. We also discuss the electoral context for the 2022 midterm elections.

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Party Identification Shifted to Republicans in 2021

We review past political polls to set the context for the 2022 midterm elections. Can Democrats make up the ground they've lost to Republicans?

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Feeding the Goat

What can we learn about the upcoming 2022 midterm elections from Pennsylvania's 2021 municipal election? We look at county-level data to help answer this question.

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Population and Voter Registration Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2000

Using recently released U.S. Census data, we examine how changes in Pennsylvania's rural and urban populations relate to changes in voting habits.

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Does a Trump Endorsement Help or Hurt in Pennsylvania?

How does former President Trump's endorsement affect candidates in primary elections? We look at past races as well as the 2022 US Senate primary, in which Trump has endorsed Sean Parnell.

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A Final Look at the 2021 Pennsylvania Primary Election

Do the results of the 2021 municipal primaries provide any clues about voter sentiment heading into the 2022 mid-term elections?