Electoral Context
2024 Primary Recap: Protest Votes and Other Surprises
An analysis of the unexpected outcomes in the 2024 Pennsylvania primary election. We look at how the protest vote, turnout, and geography influenced the results, and what this might mean for the upcoming general election.
Will Population Changes in Pennsylvania Since 2020 Help Republicans?
Uneven patterns of migration between counties could make the 2024 presidential campaign even more closely contested than it was in 2020.
Who is Going to Vote Next Week?
We look at the October 2023 poll to find out what it can tell us about potential voter turnout in the upcoming municipal election, including which party is favored.